Modern Political Economy Think Tank
We study how ideology, collective emotion, and macroeconomic regimes shape financial markets, organizational strategy, and democratic systems. Theory, data, and narrative -- combined.
Our Framework
Roseboro Foundation explores the intersection of political economy, behavioral finance, and data science -- investigating how ideology, emotion, and narrative shape financial decision-making. This emerging research agenda, led by Ashley D. Roseboro, asks what happens to markets when political identity becomes an asset-pricing variable.
In this view, markets are not governed by fundamentals alone. Political identity, cultural narratives, and media environments act as shadow variables that move prices, reshape risk premia, and redirect capital flows.
Partisan cues, cultural symbols, and story frames drive expectations alongside earnings, rates, and growth.
The influence of sentiment and ideology intensifies under stress -- high volatility, tightening cycles, political shocks -- and recedes when conditions stabilize.
Herding, fear, outrage, and FoMO create persistent patterns in returns and risk, not just transient anomalies.
Stories about democracy, justice, and legitimacy inform how firms behave, investors react, and policymakers respond.
Our Focus
Our work is organized around four interconnected pillars that translate theory into empirical research and actionable insight.
How political polarization, partisan identity, and sociopolitical branding shape stock returns, investor expectations, and equity risk premia.
Regime-switching models and macro-financial indicators that reveal when behavioral forces become most influential in driving risk.
How historical memory, civil rights narratives, and media ecosystems shape public belief, political participation, and long-run expectations.
Applying modern political economy insights to mission-driven organizations navigating ideological risk and narrative environments.
Leadership
Founder & Chief Theorist
Ashley D. Roseboro is a PhD Candidate in Business Analytics at the University of South Alabama, an Applied Data Scientist, a Strategic Consultant, and an Educator whose work bridges the domains of finance, behavioral science, and communication strategy. With over fifteen years of leadership across the business, nonprofit, and political sectors, Roseboro is recognized for uniting data-driven analysis with human-centered storytelling.
Roseboro's scholarship explores the intersection of political economy, behavioral finance, and data science -- investigating how ideology and emotion shape financial decision-making. Drawing on econometrics, machine learning, and natural language processing, he examines nonlinear and regime-dependent patterns in asset pricing across both traditional and decentralized finance markets.
His dissertation, Signals and Systems: The Political Economy of Investor Sentiment and Financial Innovation, examines how ideological and behavioral signals in financial markets, amplified by technological and macroeconomic shifts, create new paradigms for value formation and investor psychology.
Roseboro also serves as Founder and CEO of Roseboro Holdings and represents Claudette Colvin, whose story has reached global audiences through Spark (Mandalay Productions) and Noire (Centre Pompidou, Paris). He holds degrees from Greensboro College, Boston University, and the College of William & Mary.
Events
Interested in having Ashley speak at your conference, university, or organization? We welcome inquiries for keynotes, panels, and guest lectures on political economy, media, and institutional trust.
No upcoming events at this time. Check back soon.
Invite Ashley to Speak →Latest Work
An empirical examination of how ideological branding controversies create measurable distortions in asset pricing and investor behavior during periods of elevated volatility.
The February newsletter introducing the Foundation's core thesis that political identity functions as a systematic risk factor, not a behavioral anomaly.
Introducing extended asset-pricing models that account for regime-dependent behavioral forces in equity markets.
How historical narratives about justice and citizenship influence contemporary beliefs about democracy, equity, and economic opportunity.
Empirical evidence that partisan identity creates segmented investor cohorts with measurably different risk expectations and return profiles.
Get In Touch
1200 G Street, NW, Suite 800
Washington, DC 20005
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